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DIMOC 06-05-14 Meeting AgendaCOUNTY of FREDERICK Department of Planning and Development 540/ 665-5651 Fax: 540/ 665-6395 Eric R. Lawrence, AICP Director 107 North Kent Street  Winchester, Virginia 22601-5000 MEMORANDUM TO: Development Impact Model – Oversight Committee FROM: Eric R. Lawrence, AICP, Planning Director SUBJECT: June 5, 2014 DIM-OC Meeting DATE: May 22, 2014 ________________________________________________________________________ The Development Impact Model - Oversight Committee (DIM-OC) will be meeting on Thursday, June 5, 2014 at 8:30 AM in the Planning Department Conference Room of the County Administration Building, 107 North Kent Street, Suite 202, Winchester, Virginia. The DIM-OC will discuss the following agenda item: AGENDA 1. Review of Annual Updated DIM Figures Please contact our department if you are unable to attend this meeting. ERL/pd Attachments: Overview and Critical Inputs Table Annual Review of Updated DIM Figures The Development Impact Model (“DIM”) was adopted by the Board of Supervisors on October 12, 2005, following its creation by the economic consulting firm TischlerBise. The DIM is an economic tool that the County utilizes when considering land use p lanning policy decisions and rezoning applications. The DIM has been designed to project fiscal impacts that may result with land use change decisions. The Development Impact Model – Oversight Committee (DIM-OC) was created by the Board of Supervisors in 2006 and tasked with overseeing the annual update of the figures utilized by the Development Impact Model. The model update occurs each year following the Board’s adoption of the County budget. It is important to note that the model itself is not modified; the model’s formula and functionality does not change. The annual update process involves County staff gathering updated budget and capital improvement plan figures, along with a myriad of other data that is utilized within the model’s various formu las. This updated data is brought before the DIM-OC for review and evaluation prior to being input into the model and forwarded to the Board of Supervisors for their approval. Attached is a list of the information that staff has gathered – “Annual Review/Update Critical Inputs” - for inclusion in the DIM update. In p u t s Up d a t e d M o d e l V a l u e s fo r F Y 1 5 FY 1 4 C u r r e n t M o d e l Va l u e s So u r c e o f F Y 1 5 i n f o PO P U L A T I O N 8 1 , 2 0 7 8 0 , 1 1 8 W el d o n C o o p e r C e n t e r , 1 / 2 6 / 2 0 1 3 Nu m b e r o f D w e l l i n g U n i t s SI N G L E F A M I L Y - D E T A C H E D 2 6 , 2 6 5 2 6 , 0 2 0 F r e d C o . C A M A F i l e + n e w C O SI N G L E F A M I L Y - A T T A C H E D 2 , 8 4 5 2 , 7 9 3 F r e d C o . C A M A F i l e + n e w C O MU L T I F A M I L Y 92 4 9 2 4 F r e d C o . C A M A F i l e + n e w C O MO B I L E H O M E / O T H E R 2, 0 7 0 2 , 0 6 4 F r e d C o . C A M A F i l e + n e w C O AG R I C U L T U R E / O T H E R J O B S 4 6 6 4 6 4 V EC , 3 r d q u a r t e r , a v e r a g e e m p l o y m e n t IN D U S T R I A L J O B S 9 , 7 2 7 9 , 1 3 1 V EC , 3 r d q u a r t e r , a v e r a g e e m p l o y m e n t RE T A I L / S E R V I C E J O B S 9 , 9 3 2 9 , 1 0 6 V EC , 3 r d q u a r t e r , a v e r a g e e m p l o y m e n t OF F I C E / I N S T I T U T I O N A L J O B S 7 , 0 6 2 6 , 4 6 6 V EC , 3 r d q u a r t e r , a v e r a g e e m p l o y m e n t PA R K A C R E S 4 0 5 4 0 5 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n RE S S H E R I F F C A L L S 4 4 , 1 9 7 4 3 , 2 1 1 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y S h e r i f f ' s O f f i c e NO N R E S S H E R I F F C A L L S 3 7 , 5 0 2 3 4 , 3 0 6 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y S h e r i f f ' s O f f i c e RE S F I R E C A L L S 7 , 1 1 7 8 , 0 1 9 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y F i r e & R e s c u e NO N R E S F I R E C A L L S 1 , 0 0 8 1 , 2 1 2 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y F i r e & R e s c u e OT H E R F I R E C A L L S 1 , 3 4 7 5 0 0 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y F i r e & R e s c u e Re s i d e n t i a l A v e r a g e W e e k d a y V e h i c l e T r i p s E n d s p e r U n i t S i n g l e F a m i l y - D e t a c h e d 9 . 5 7 9 . 5 7 ( I T E ) T r i p G e n e r a t i o n M a n u a l ( 2 0 0 3 ) S i n g l e F a m i l y - A t t a c h e d 5 . 8 6 5 . 8 6 ( I T E ) T r i p G e n e r a t i o n M a n u a l ( 2 0 0 3 ) M u l t i f a m i l y 6. 5 9 6 . 5 9 ( I T E ) T r i p G e n e r a t i o n M a n u a l ( 2 0 0 3 ) M o b i l e H o m e / O t h e r 4 . 9 9 4 . 9 9 ( I T E ) T r i p G e n e r a t i o n M a n u a l ( 2 0 0 3 ) An n u a l R e v i e w / U p d a t e C r i t i c a l I n p u t s  Cr i t i c a l  In p u t  ‐     Pa g e  1 FY15   FY14  compare May   22, 2014 In p u t s Up d a t e d M o d e l V a l u e s fo r F Y 1 5 FY 1 4 C u r r e n t M o d e l Va l u e s So u r c e o f F Y 1 5 i n f o An n u a l R e v i e w / U p d a t e C r i t i c a l I n p u t s No n - R e s i d e n t i a l A v e r a g e W e e k d a y V e h i c l e T r i p s E n d s p e r U n i t O f f i c e 1 5 . 5 9 1 5 . 5 9 ( I T E ) T r i p G e n e r a t i o n M a n u a l ( 2 0 0 3 ) R e t a i l 6 8 . 1 7 6 8 . 1 7 ( I T E ) T r i p G e n e r a t i o n M a n u a l ( 2 0 0 3 ) I n d . / F l e x 1 2 . 7 6 1 2 . 7 6 ( I T E ) T r i p G e n e r a t i o n M a n u a l ( 2 0 0 3 ) Pe r s o n p e r D w e l l i n g U n i t Si n g l e F a m i l y - D e t a c h e d 2 . 7 7 2 . 7 7 U S C e n s u s Si n g l e F a m i l y - A t t a c h e d 2 . 3 0 2 . 3 0 U S C e n s u s Mu l t i f a m i l y 2. 1 2 2 . 1 2 U S C e n s u s Mo b i l e H o m e / O t h e r 2 . 4 3 2 . 4 3 U S C e n s u s Sc h o o l C h i l d r e n p e r D w e l l i n g U n i t Si n g l e F a m i l y - D e t a c h e d El e m e n t a r y 0. 1 9 3 0 . 2 0 3 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Mi d d l e 0 . 0 9 5 0 . 1 0 3 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Hi g h 0 . 1 0 9 0 . 1 2 3 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Si n g l e F a m i l y - A t t a c h e d El e m e n t a r y 0. 1 2 5 0 . 1 3 2 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Mi d d l e 0 . 0 7 0 0 . 0 6 7 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Hi g h 0 . 0 7 0 0 . 0 8 0 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Mu l t i f a m i l y El e m e n t a r y 0. 1 3 4 0 . 1 2 8 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Mi d d l e 0 . 0 5 5 0 . 0 5 2 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Hi g h 0 . 0 6 7 0 . 0 6 2 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s  Cr i t i c a l  In p u t  ‐     Pa g e  2 FY15   FY14  compare May   22, 2014 In p u t s Up d a t e d M o d e l V a l u e s fo r F Y 1 5 FY 1 4 C u r r e n t M o d e l Va l u e s So u r c e o f F Y 1 5 i n f o An n u a l R e v i e w / U p d a t e C r i t i c a l I n p u t s Sc h o o l C h i l d r e n p e r D w e l l i n g U n i t ( c o n t ) Mo b i l e H o m e / O t h e r El e m e n t a r y 0. 1 3 8 0 . 1 5 7 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Mi d d l e 0 . 0 9 7 0 . 0 8 6 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Hi g h 0 . 0 6 8 0 . 0 8 0 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Sc h o o l s EL E M E N T A R Y E N R O L L M E N T 5 , 9 6 5 5 , 9 8 5 V ir g i n i a D e p a r t m e n t o f E d u c a t i o n , 9 / 3 0 / 1 3 MI D D L E E N R O L L M E N T 3 , 1 1 1 3 , 1 1 0 V ir g i n i a D e p a r t m e n t o f E d u c a t i o n , 9 / 3 0 / 1 3 HI G H E N R O L L M E N T 3 , 9 7 2 3 , 9 7 1 V ir g i n i a D e p a r t m e n t o f E d u c a t i o n , 9 / 3 0 / 1 3 Pr o t o t y p e E l e m en t a r y S c h o o l Ca p a c i t y ( s t u d e n t p r o g r a m c a p a c i t y ) 8 5 0 8 5 0 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Cu r r e n t C o s t $2 3 , 4 7 5 , 0 0 0 $ 2 3 , 4 7 5 , 0 0 0 C a p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Pr o t o t y p e M i d d l e S c h o o l Ca p a c i t y ( s t u d e n t p r o g r a m c a p a c i t y ) 9 0 0 8 5 0 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Cu r r e n t C o s t $4 9 , 5 0 0 , 0 0 0 $ 3 8 , 9 3 0 , 0 0 0 C a p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Pr o t o t y p e H i g h S c h o o l Ca p a c i t y ( s t u d e n t p r o g r a m c a p a c i t y ) 1 2 5 0 1 , 2 5 0 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Cu r r e n t C o s t $7 0 , 0 0 0 , 0 0 0 $ 6 4 , 1 4 0 , 0 0 0 C a p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n  Cr i t i c a l  In p u t  ‐     Pa g e  3 FY15   FY14  compare May   22, 2014 In p u t s Up d a t e d M o d e l V a l u e s fo r F Y 1 5 FY 1 4 C u r r e n t M o d e l Va l u e s So u r c e o f F Y 1 5 i n f o An n u a l R e v i e w / U p d a t e C r i t i c a l I n p u t s Tr a n s p o r t a t i o n F a c i l i t y Gr o w t h R e l a t e d P e r c e n t a g e 5 0 % F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Cu r r e n t C o s t $0 C a p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Ad m i n O f f i c e E x p a n i s o n Gr o w t h R e l a t e d P e r c e n t a g e 5 0 % 5 0 % F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P u b l i c S c h o o l s Cu r r e n t C o s t $1 4 , 5 1 0 , 0 0 0 $ 1 4 , 5 1 0 , 0 0 0 C a p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Fi r e S t a t i o n St a t i o n C a l l C a p a c i t y 1, 5 0 0 1 , 5 0 0 F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y F i r e & R e s c u e Cu r r e n t C o s t $4 , 3 0 5 , 0 0 0 $ 4 , 3 0 5 , 0 0 0 C a p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Pa r k s & R e c r e a t i o n ( B a s e L i n e I n v e n t o r y ) Re g i o n a l P a r k L a n d 3 9 1 A c r e s 3 9 1 A c r e s F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n Co m m u n i t y P a r k L a n d 1 4 A c r e s 1 4 A c r e s F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n Tr a i l s 3 . 0 0 M i l e s 3 . 0 0 M i l e s F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n Sh e l t e r s 1 8 F a c i l i t i e s 1 8 F a c i l i t i e s F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n Ba s e b a l l F i e l d s 8 F i e l d s 8 F i e l d s F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n So f t b a l l F i e l d s 5 F i e l d s 5 F i e l d s F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n Pl a y g r o u n d / P i c n i c A r e a 2 0 F i e l d s 2 0 F i e l d s F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n Pi c n i c a r e a s a t r e g i o n a l p a r k s 2 0 F a c i l i t i e s 2 0 F a c i l i t i e s F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n Te n n i s C o u r t 6 C o u r t s 6 C o u r t s F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n Ba s k e t b a l l C o u r t s 5 F a c i l i t i e s 5 F a c i l i t i e s F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n Sw i m m i n g P o o l 2 F a c i l i t i e s 2 F a c i l i t i e s F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n So c c e r F i e l d s 6 F i e l d s 6 F i e l d s F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n Vo l l e y b a l l C o u r t s 3 C o u r t s 3 C o u r t s F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n Ho r e s h o e C o u r t s 0 C o u r t s 0 C o u r t s F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n  Cr i t i c a l  In p u t  ‐     Pa g e  4 FY15   FY14  compare May   22, 2014 In p u t s Up d a t e d M o d e l V a l u e s fo r F Y 1 5 FY 1 4 C u r r e n t M o d e l Va l u e s So u r c e o f F Y 1 5 i n f o An n u a l R e v i e w / U p d a t e C r i t i c a l I n p u t s Pa r k s & R e c r e a t i o n ( C u r r e n t C o s t ) Re g i o n a l P a r k L a n d $ 6 , 0 0 0 P e r A c r e $ 6 , 0 0 0 P e r A c r e C a p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Co m m u n i t y P a r k L a n d $ 7 2 , 0 0 0 P e r A c r e $ 7 2 , 0 0 0 P e r A c r e C a p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Tr a i l s $ 2 1 1 , 2 2 0 P e r M i l e $ 2 1 1 , 2 2 0 P e r M i l e C a p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Sh e l t e r s $ 4 2 , 3 2 2 P e r S h e l t e r $ 4 2 , 3 2 2 P e r S h e l t e r C a p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Ba s e b a l l F i e l d s $ 2 7 5 , 0 0 0 P e r F i e l d $ 2 7 5 , 0 0 0 P e r F i e l d C a p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n So f t b a l l F i e l d s $ 2 5 0 , 0 0 0 P e r F i e l d $ 2 5 0 , 0 0 0 P e r F i e l d C a p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Pl a y g r o u n d / P i c n i c A r e a $ 1 5 0 , 0 0 0 P e r F a c i l i t y $1 5 0 , 0 0 0 P e r F a c i l i t y Ca p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Pi c n i c a r e a s a t r e g i o n a l p a r k s $ 8 0 4 , 2 4 3 P e r F a c i l i t y $7 0 0 , 0 0 0 P e r F a c i l i t y Ca p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Te n n i s C o u r t $5 6 , 2 5 0 P e r C o u r t $5 6 , 2 5 0 P e r C o u r t Ca p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Ba s k e t b a l l C o u r t s $ 1 1 2 , 5 0 0 P e r C o u r t $1 1 2 , 5 0 0 P e r C o u r t Ca p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Sw i m m i n g P o o l w / F i e l d H o u s e $ 1 5 , 1 6 3 , 0 0 0 P e r F a c i l i t y $1 5 , 1 6 3 , 0 0 0 P e r F a c i l i t y Ca p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Gr o w t h R e l a t e d P e r c e n t a g e 3 0 % 3 0 % F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n So c c e r F i e l d s $ 1 , 1 2 1 , 9 9 8 P e r F i e l d $ 1 , 1 2 1 , 9 9 8 P e r F i e l d C a p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Mu l t i - G e n e r a t i o n a l C o m m u n i t y C e n t e r $ 8 , 8 0 2 , 6 0 5 P e r F a c i l i t y $8 , 8 0 2 , 6 0 5 P e r F a c i l i t y Ca p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Gr o w t h R e l a t e d P e r c e n t a g e 8 0 % 8 0 % F r e d e r i c k C o u n t y P a r k s & R e c r e a t i o n Ne w R e g i o n a l L i b r a r y Gr o w t h R e l a t e d P e r c e n t a g e 2 8 . 5 % 2 8 . 5 % H a n d l e y R e g i o n a l L i b r a r y Ad d i t i o n a l U n i t s S e r v e d ( p e r s o n s ) 1 6 , 0 0 0 16 , 0 0 0 H a n d l e y R e g i o n a l L i b r a r y Cu r r e n t C o s t $5 , 4 0 0 , 0 0 0 P e r F a c i l i t y $5 , 4 0 0 , 0 0 0 P e r F a c i l i t y Ca p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n Ne w R u r a l B r a n c h L i b r a r y Gr o w t h R e l a t e d P e r c e n t a g e 2 9 . 0 % 2 9 . 0 % H a n d l e y R e g i o n a l L i b r a r y Ad d i t i o n a l U n i t s S e r v e d ( p e r s o n s ) 8 , 0 0 0 8, 0 0 0 H a n d l e y R e g i o n a l L i b r a r y Cu r r e n t C o s t $2 , 2 7 9 , 5 7 5 P e r F a c i l i t y $2 , 2 7 9 , 5 7 5 P e r F a c i l i t y Ca p i t a l F a c i l i t y I m p r o v e m e n t P l a n  Cr i t i c a l  In p u t  ‐     Pa g e  5 FY15   FY14  compare May   22, 2014 Projected Impacts Per Dwelling Unit Comparison FY15 FY14 (July 2014-June 2015) Single Family Dwelling Unit = $19,583 $ 19,600 Town Home Dwelling Unit = $13,437 $ 13,062 Apartment Dwelling Unit = $12,697 $ 11,339 The following is a breakdown of the projected impacts per dwelling unit for each capital facility. Single Family Town home Apartment Capital facility FY15 FY14 FY15 FY14 FY15 FY14 Fire And Rescue $554 $564 $412 $419 $418 $425 General Government $43 $43 $33 $33 $33 $32 Public Safety $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Library $496 $496 $379 $379 $379 $379 Parks and Recreation $1,742 $1,766 $1,332 $1,350 $1,332 $1,350 School Construction $16,747 $16,731 $11,281 $10,881 $10,535 $9,152 Total $19,583 $19,600 $13,437 $13,062 $12,697 $11,339 Development Impact Model On October 12, 2005, the Frederick County Board of Supervisors directed staff to use the Development Impact Model (DIM) to project the capital fiscal impacts that would be associated with any rezoning petitions containing residential development, replacing the existing Capital Facilities Fiscal Impact Model. The DIM was created by an economic consultant who evaluated and analyzed development within the County in an effort to assist the County in planning for future capital facility requirements. Critical inputs to the DIM are to be reviewed and updated annually to assure that the fiscal projections accurately reflect County capital expenditures. PENDING The Board of Supervisors authorized use of the annual model update on June 25, 2014. The DIM projects that, on average, residential development has a negative fiscal impact on the County’s capital expenditures. As such, all rezoning petitions with a residential component submitted after July 1, 2014 will be expected to demonstrate how the proposal will mitigate the following projected capital facility impacts: Single Family Dwelling Unit = $ 19,583 Town Home Dwelling Unit = $ 13,437 Apartment Dwelling Unit = $ 12,697 The following is a breakdown of the projected impacts per dwelling unit for each capital facility. Capital facility Single Family Town home Apartment Fire And Rescue $554 $412 $418 General Government $43 $33 $33 Public Safety $0 $0 $0 Library $496 $379 $379 Parks and Recreation $1,742 $1,332 $1,332 School Construction $16,747 $11,281 $10,535 Total $19,583 $13,437 $12,697 The projected capital expenditures depicted above do not include a credit for future real estate taxes. A “read-only” copy of the Development Impact Model is available on the public workstation within the Planning and Development’s office. A user manual is also available. 05/22/2014