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DIMOC 06-07-11 Meeting AgendaCOUNTY of FREDERICK Department of Planning and Development 540/665-5651 MEMORANDUM FAX: 540/665-6395 TO: Development Impact Model — Oversight Committee FROM: Eric R. Lawrence, AICP, Planning Director : .� SUBJECT: June 7, 2011 DIM -OC Meeting DATE: May 27, 2011 The Development Impact Model - Oversight Committee (DIM -OC) will be meeting on Tuesday, June 7, 2011 at 8:00 AM in the Planning Department Conference Room of the County Administration Building, 107 North Kent Street, Suite 202, Winchester, Virginia. The DIM -OC will discuss the following agenda item: AGENDA 1. Review of Annual Updated DIM Figures Please contact our department if you are unable to attend this meeting. ERL/bad Attachments: Overview and Critical Inputs Table 107 North Kent Street, Suite 202 • Winchester, Virginia 22601-5000 Annual Review of Updated DIM Figures The Development Impact Model ("DIM") was adopted by the Board of Supervisors on October 12, 2005, following its creation by the economic consulting firm TischlerBise. The DIM is an economic tool that the County utilizes when considering land use planning policy decisions and rezoning applications. The DIM has been designed to project fiscal impacts that may result with land use change decisions. The Development Impact Model — Oversight Committee (DIM -OC) was created by the Board of Supervisors in 2006 and tasked with overseeing the annual update of the figures utilized by the Development Impact Model. The model update occurs each year following the Board's adoption of the County budget. It is important to note that the model itself is not modified; the model's formula and functionality does not change. The annual update process involves County staff gathering updated budget and capital improvement plan figures, along with a myriad of other data that is utilized within the model's various formulas. This updated data is brought before the DIM -OC for review and evaluation prior to being input into the model and forwarded to the Board of Supervisors for their approval. Attached is a list of the information that staff has gathered — "Annual Review/Update Critical Inputs" - for inclusion in the DIM update. Annual Review / Update Critical Inputs Residential Average Weekday Vehicle Trips Ends per Unit Single Family -Detached 9.57 Single Family -Attached 5.86 Multifamily 6.59 Mobile Home/Other 4.99 Non -Residential Average Weekday Vehicle Trips Ends per Unit Office 15.59 Retail 68.17 Ind./Flex 12.76 9.57 (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (2003) 5.86 (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (2003) 6.59 (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (2003) 4.99 (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (2003) 15.59 Updated Value 68.17 (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (2003) Inputs for FYI FY11 Current Value Source of FY12 info POPULATION 78,305 75,341 Weldon Cooper Center, 2/3/2011 Number of Dwelling Units SINGLE FAMILY -DETACHED 25,619 25,431 Fred Co. CAMA File+ new CO SINGLE FAMILY -ATTACHED 2,715 2,643 Fred Co. CAMA File+ new CO MULTIFAMILY 924 924 Fred Co. CAMA File+ new CO MOBILE HOME/OTHER 2,057 2,018 Fred Co. CAMA File+ new CO AGRICULTURE/OTHER JOBS 391 407 VEC, 3rd quarter, average employment INDUSTRIAL JOBS 6,497 8,306 VEC, 3rd quarter, average employment RETAIL/SERVICE JOBS 7,488 8,031 VEC, 3rd quarter, average employment OFFICE/INSTITUTIONAL JOBS 5,477 3,640 VEC, 3rd quarter, average employment PARK ACRES 405 405 Frederick County Parks & Recreation RES SHERIFF CALLS 43,394 45,344 Frederick County Sheriffs Office NONRES SHERIFF CALLS 31,122 27,689 Frederick County Sheriffs Office RES FIRE CALLS 6,554 6,694 Frederick County Fire & Rescue NONRES FIRE CALLS 2,232 1,957 Frederick County Fire & Rescue OTHER FIRE CALLS 525 578 Frederick County Fire & Rescue Residential Average Weekday Vehicle Trips Ends per Unit Single Family -Detached 9.57 Single Family -Attached 5.86 Multifamily 6.59 Mobile Home/Other 4.99 Non -Residential Average Weekday Vehicle Trips Ends per Unit Office 15.59 Retail 68.17 Ind./Flex 12.76 9.57 (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (2003) 5.86 (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (2003) 6.59 (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (2003) 4.99 (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (2003) 15.59 (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (2003) 68.17 (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (2003) 12.76 (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (2003) Page 1 Development Impact Model - Critical Input Annual Update June 2011 Inputs Person per Dwelling Unit Single Family -Detached Single Family - Attached Multifamily Mobile Home/Other School Children per Dwelling Unit Single Family -Detached Elementary Middle High Single Family -Attached Elementary Middle High Multifamily Elementary Middle High School Children per Dwelling Unit (cont) Mobile Home/Other Elementary Middle High Schools ELEMENTARY ENROLLMENT MIDDLE ENROLLMENT HIGH ENROLLMENT Annual Review / Update Critical Inputs Updated Value 0.222 Frederick County Public Schools for FYI FY11 Current Value Source of FY12 info 2.77 2.77 US Census 2.30 2.30 US Census 2.12 2.12 US Census 2.43 2.43 US Census 0.216 0.222 Frederick County Public Schools 0.116 0.112 Frederick County Public Schools 0.142 0.151 Frederick County Public Schools 0.159 0.176 Frederick County Public Schools 0.083 0.079 Frederick County Public Schools 0.094 0.087 Frederick County Public Schools 0.122 0.147 Frederick County Public Schools 0.049 0.060 Frederick County Public Schools 0.056 0.077 Frederick County Public Schools 0.182 0.182 Frederick County Public Schools 0.087 0.078 Frederick County Public Schools 0.106 0.115 Frederick County Public Schools 5,963 5,907 Virginia Department of Education 2,976 2,958 Virginia Department of Education 4,107 4,196 Virginia Department of Education Page 2 Development Impact Model - Critical Input Annual Update June 2011 Annual Review / Update Critical Inputs Page 3 Development Impact Model - Critical Input Annual Update June 2011 Updated Value Inputs for FY12 FY11 Current Value Source of FY12 info Prototype Elementary School Capacity (student program capacity) 850 743 Frederick County Public Schools Current Cost $15,000,000 $23,200,000 Capital Facility Improvement Plan Prototype Middle School Capacity (student program capacity) 850 850 Frederick County Public Schools Current Cost $28,000,000 $33,992,000 Capital Facility Improvement Plan Prototype High School Capacity (student program capacity) 1250 1,250 Frederick County Public Schools Current Cost $54,000,000 $55,250,000 Capital Facility Improvement Plan Transportation Facility Growth Related Percentage 50% 50% Frederick County Public Schools Current Cost $14,000,000 $18,220,000 Capital Facility Improvement Plan Admin Office Expanison Growth Related Percentage 50% 50% Frederick County Public Schools Current Cost $14,510,000 $14,510,000 Capital Facility Improvement Plan Fire Station Station Call Capacity 1,500 1,500 Frederick County Fire & Rescue Current Cost $5,000,000 $5,000,000 Capital Facility Improvement Plan Parks & Recreation (Base Line Inventory) Regional Park Land 391 Acres 391 Acres Frederick County Parks & Recreation Community Park Land 14 Acres 14 Acres Frederick County Parks & Recreation Trails 3.00 Miles 2.40 Miles Frederick County Parks & Recreation Shelters 18 Facilities 16 Facilities Frederick County Parks & Recreation Baseball Fields 8 Fields 8 Fields Frederick County Parks & Recreation Softball Fields 5 Fields 5 Fields Frederick County Parks & Recreation Playground/Picnic Area 20 Fields 20 Fields Frederick County Parks & Recreation Picnic areas at regional parks 20 Facilities 20 Facilities Frederick County Parks & Recreation Tennis Court 6 Courts 6 Courts Frederick County Parks & Recreation Page 3 Development Impact Model - Critical Input Annual Update June 2011 Inputs Basketball Courts Swimming Pool Soccer Fields Volleyball Courts Horeshoe Courts Parks & Recreation (Current Cost) Regional Park Land Community Park Land Trails Shelters Baseball Fields Softball Fields Playground/Picnic Area Picnic areas at regional parks Tennis Court Basketball Courts Swimming Pool w/ Field House Growth Related Percentage Soccer Fields Multi -Generational Community Center Growth Related Percentage New Regional Library Growth Related Percentage Additional Units Served (persons) Current Cost New Rural Branch Library Growth Related Percentage Additional Units Served (persons) Current Cost Annual Review / Update Critical Inputs Updated Value for FY12 5 Facilities 2 Facilities 6 Fields 3 Courts 0 Courts $6,000 Per Acre $72,000 Per Acre $211,220 Per Mile $42,322 Per Shelter $275,000 Per Field $250,000 Per Field $150,000 Per Facility $700,000 Per Facility $56,250 Per Court $112,500 Per Court $15,163,000 Per Facility 30% $1,121,998 Per Field $8,802,605 Per Facility 80% FY11 Current Value 5 Facilities 2 Facilities 6 Fields 3 Courts 0 Courts $6,000 Per Acre $72,000 Per Acre $211,220 Per Mile $42,322 Per Shelter $275,000 Per Field $250,000 Per Field $150,000 Per Facility $700,000 Per Facility $56,250 Per Court $112,500 Per Court $15,163,000 Per Facility 30% $1,121,998 Per Field $8,802,605 Per Facility 80% Source of FY12 info Frederick County Parks & Recreation Frederick County Parks & Recreation Frederick County Parks & Recreation Frederick County Parks & Recreation Frederick County Parks & Recreation Capital Facility Improvement Plan Capital Facility Improvement Plan Capital Facility Improvement Plan Capital Facility Improvement Plan Capital Facility Improvement Plan Capital Facility Improvement Plan Capital Facility Improvement Plan Capital Facility Improvement Plan Capital Facility Improvement Plan Capital Facility Improvement Plan Capital Facility Improvement Plan Frederick County Parks & Recreation Capital Facility Improvement Plan Capital Facility Improvement Plan Frederick County Parks & Recreation 28.5% 28.5% Handley Regional Library 16,000 16,000 Handley Regional Library $5,400,000 Per Facility $5,400,000 Per Facility Capital Facility Improvement Plan 29.0% 29.0% Handley Regional Library 8,000 8,000 Handley Regional Library $2,191,969 Per Facility $2,191,969 Per Facility Capital Facility Improvement Plan Page 4 Development Impact Model - Critical Input Annual Update June 2011